Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 18
Aug 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Lahden Kisapuisto
HJK logo

Lahti
2 - 1
HJK Helsinki

Lopez (34', 56')
Mulahalilovic (56'), Lopez (63'), Jordao Pinto Silva Cardoso (80'), Babiker (90+3'), Koskinen (90+5'), Maukonen (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Erwin (26')
Pallas (6'), Lyons-Foster (53'), Halme (59')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Lahti and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: SJK 5-5 Lahti
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-0 Oulu
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
LahtiDrawHJK Helsinki
20.74% (-0.404 -0.4)22.75% (0.36 0.36)56.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.69% (-1.798 -1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32% (-2.097 -2.1)45.68% (2.099 2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32% (-2.026 -2.03)68% (2.027 2.03)
Lahti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88% (-1.586 -1.59)36.12% (1.587 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1% (-1.65 -1.65)72.9% (1.652 1.65)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-0.711 -0.71)15.96% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (-1.322 -1.32)45.24% (1.326 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Lahti 20.74%
    HJK Helsinki 56.51%
    Draw 22.74%
LahtiDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 5.87% (0.272 0.27)
2-1 @ 5.49% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 2.99% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.01% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.74%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.5 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.668 0.67)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.71% (0.394 0.39)
1-3 @ 6.05% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-3 @ 5.94% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-4 @ 2.77% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-4 @ 2.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 56.51%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 2
HJK Helsinki
4-0
Lahti
Keskinen (20', 44'), Lingman (57' pen.), Bande (69')
Nunoo Sarpei (43'), Kanellopoulos (61')

Viitikko (34')
Jul 8, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 14
HJK Helsinki
0-1
Lahti

Peltola (42'), Tenho (42'), Soiri (50')
Zeqiri (33')
Zeqiri (67'), Ljubic (80'), Koskipalo (88')
Jun 7, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Lahti
1-2
HJK Helsinki
Tauriainen (3')
Radulovic (48', 74')
Olusanya (40')
May 17, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 8
HJK Helsinki
3-2
Lahti
Radulovic (50'), Hetemaj (56'), Serrarens (88')
Murilo (74')
Pirttijoki (45'), Penninkangas (84')
Virta (21'), Christofi (53'), Emsis (68')
May 12, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 7
Lahti
1-1
HJK Helsinki
Penninkangas (16')
Henrique (27'), Emsis (31')
Olusanya (21')
Olusanya (34'), Martic (74')