Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.