UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 18, 2024 at 6pm UK

Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Dinamo Tbilisi
1 - 1
Mornar

(Mornar win 3-2 on aggregate)

Salia (33'), Iobashvili (70')
Simon (37'), Lominadze (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zoric (57')
Dubljevic (34'), Zoric (58'), Vusurovic (90+8'), Popovic (90+9')

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Dinamo Tbilisi and Mornar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Tbilisi

Last Game: Mornar 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Thursday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Mornar

Last Game: Mornar 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Thursday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Mornar win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo Tbilisi	Draw	Mornar
58.05% ( 0.15)	23.71% ( -0)	18.23% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 46.69% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.07% (

-0.19)

52.92% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47% (

-0.17)

74.53% (

0.17)

Dinamo Tbilisi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99% (

-0.02)

18% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.12% (

-0.03)

48.87% (

0.03)

Mornar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.95% (

-0.29)

43.05% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.66% (

-0.24)

79.33% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi 58.04%

Mornar 18.23%

Draw 23.71%

Dinamo Tbilisi	Draw	Mornar
1-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 58.04%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.71%	0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 18.23%