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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion SRC Topolica
Dinamo Tbilisi

Mornar
2 - 1
Dinamo Tbilisi

Durisic (20'), Vusurovic (23')
Dubljevic (38'), Moistsrapishvili (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ugrekhelidze (90+4')
Ugrekhelidze (44'), Kalandadze (68'), Moistsrapishvili (87'), Khvadagiani (87')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Mornar and Dinamo Tbilisi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mornar

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Dinamo Tbilisi

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Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Mornar win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MornarDrawDinamo Tbilisi
23.79% (0.010999999999999 0.01)26.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.55% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.9% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)78.61% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Mornar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)40.04% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)76.69% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Dinamo Tbilisi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)23.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)57.49% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mornar 23.79%
    Dinamo Tbilisi 49.55%
    Draw 26.66%
MornarDrawDinamo Tbilisi
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 5.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.26%
3-0 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 23.79%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 9.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 13.62%
0-2 @ 9.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2%
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 49.55%