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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 51.09%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
51.09% | 24.37% | 24.55% |
Both teams to score 53.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.51% | 48.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.38% | 70.61% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.02% | 18.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.48% | 50.52% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% | 34.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.15% | 70.85% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.08% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.96% 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.21% Total : 24.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 81 | 13 | 68 | 72 |
2 | Feyenoord | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 62 |
3 | FC Twente | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 49 |
5 | Ajax | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 41 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 39 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 34 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 31 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 30 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 28 |
14 | Heracles | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 22 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
17 | Vitesse | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |