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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%).
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 31.31% | 22.32% | 46.37% |
| Both teams to score 66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.78% | 34.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.88% | 56.12% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% | 22.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.61% | 55.39% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% | 15.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.92% | 44.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.25% 1-0 @ 5.11% 2-0 @ 3.86% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.39% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 6.79% 0-0 @ 3.38% 3-3 @ 2.14% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 5.62% 2-3 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 3.72% 1-4 @ 2.63% 2-4 @ 1.99% 0-4 @ 1.74% 3-4 @ 1% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.16% Total : 46.37% |