Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Cambuur.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 60.29%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 19.88% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.98%) and 0-1 (7.18%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Cambuur |
| 19.88% | 19.83% | 60.29% |
| Both teams to score 62.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.65% | 33.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.87% | 55.13% |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% | 29.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% | 65.9% |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.16% | 10.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.09% | 34.91% |
| Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior 19.88%
Cambuur 60.29%
Draw 19.83%
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 5.26% 1-0 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.92% Total : 19.88% | 1-1 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 3.23% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.83% | 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 7.98% 0-1 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 7.15% 0-3 @ 5.91% 2-3 @ 4.33% 1-4 @ 3.98% 0-4 @ 3.29% 2-4 @ 2.41% 1-5 @ 1.77% 0-5 @ 1.46% 2-5 @ 1.07% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.15% Total : 60.29% |


