NEC
3 - 2
SBV Excelsior

Okita (50'), Elkarouani (79'), Bruijn (86' pen.)
Odenthal (28'), Proper (42'), Okita (72'), Vet (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zwarts (14'), van Rooijen (17')
Wieffer (49'), Matthys (90+4')
Ormonde-Ottewill (76')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NEC and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	SBV Excelsior
50.64%	22.81%	26.55%

Both teams to score 60.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.21%

39.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.85%

62.15%

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.11%

15.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.88%

45.12%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07%

27.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45%

63.55%

Score Analysis

NEC 50.64%

SBV Excelsior 26.55%

Draw 22.81%

NEC	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 5.87% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.64% Total : 50.64%	1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 4.44% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.81%	1-2 @ 6.64% 0-1 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.68% Total : 26.55%

NEC3 - 2SBV Excelsior

Data Analysis

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NEC
3 - 2
SBV Excelsior