MVV
3 - 2
Jong AZ

Mickels (17'), Dianessy (72'), Naudts (81')
Deom (73'), Surmeli (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Havekotte (26' og.), De Jong (48')
Lathouwers (55'), Franken (66')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong AZ.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Jong AZ
50.06%	22.97%	26.97%

Both teams to score 60.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.8%

40.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.42%

62.57%

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.75%

16.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.22%

45.77%

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16%

27.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.56%

63.43%

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 50.06%

Jong AZ 26.97%

Draw 22.96%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Jong AZ
2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 5.79% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-2 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 2.63% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.5% Total : 50.06%	1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 4.52% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.96%	1-2 @ 6.72% 0-1 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.58% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.97%

MVV3 - 2Jong AZ

Data Analysis

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MVV
3 - 2
Jong AZ