Coupe de France | Round of 16
Jan 29, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Stade Marcel-Picot
Nancy0 - 2Amiens
We said: Nancy 1-2 Amiens
As much as a Coupe de France quarter-final appearance may appease some of the Nancy faithful, the hosts must focus their efforts on dragging themselves to safety in the second tier, however challenging that may be. That is not to say that Cartier's side - who have established something of a giant-killing reputation - will not give it their all on home soil, but Amiens' have very few defeats on their recent record and should use their plentiful attacking options to get over the line and into the last eight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Nancy win was 1-0 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Amiens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nancy | Draw | Amiens |
| 34.03% | 28.02% | 37.95% |
| Both teams to score 47.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
