Coupe de France | Round of 16

Feb 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Pierre de Coubertin

AS Cannes
5 - 3
Dives-Cabourg

Domingues (9', 12'), Abbas (45+2'), Mambu (69'), Goncalves (87')
Goncalves (45+1'), Vinci (45+3')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Thoris (25'), Fontaine (53'), Bekombo (90+4')
Fontaine (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between AS Cannes and Dives-Cabourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AS Cannes

Last Game: AS Cannes 2-1 Lorient
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

Dives-Cabourg

Last Game: Dives-Cabourg 1-0 Le Puy
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AS Cannes win with a probability of 79.75%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Dives-Cabourg had a probability of 6.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an AS Cannes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.91%) and 1-0 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Dives-Cabourg win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AS Cannes would win this match.

Result
AS Cannes	Draw	Dives-Cabourg
79.75% ( -0.27)	13.74% ( 0.18)	6.52% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 41.33% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.93% (

-0.59)

39.07% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.61% (

-0.62)

61.39% (

0.62)

AS Cannes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.23% (

-0.19)

7.77% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.37% (

-0.49)

27.63% (

0.48)

Dives-Cabourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.82% (

-0.18)

55.18% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.01% (

-0.11)

87.99% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

AS Cannes 79.73%

Dives-Cabourg 6.52%

Draw 13.74%

AS Cannes	Draw	Dives-Cabourg
2-0 @ 13.99% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 79.73%	1-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 13.74%	0-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 6.52%