Montevideo Wanderers
Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 1st Leg
Mar 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera
Cerro Largo logo

Wanderers
2 - 1
Cerro Largo

Rivero (74'), Riolfo (79')
Garcia (35'), Rivero (52'), Aguirre (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Onetto (51')
Lima (30'), Max (67'), Fernando Casiani Zuniga (69'), Casiani (69'), Villar (76')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

Last Six:
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Boston River
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerro Largo

Last Six:
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawCerro Largo
46.74%24.88%28.38%
Both teams to score 55.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18%47.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99%70%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49%20.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47%53%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24%30.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98%67.02%
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 46.74%
    Cerro Largo 28.38%
    Draw 24.88%
Montevideo WanderersDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 9.99%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-0 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.74%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.44%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.38%

Head to Head
Feb 14, 2022 10.15pm
Wanderers
1-0
Cerro Largo
Mendez (90')
Acosta (38'), Rivero (55'), Bravo (58'), (90+3')
Izquierdo (77')

Morales (50'), Max (76'), (90+2')
Nov 8, 2021 9.45pm
Wanderers
1-2
Cerro Largo
Hernandez (4')
Izquierdo (17'), Aguirre (57'), Petryk (88')
Max (45'), Di Yorio (54')
Martinez (35'), Enrique (84'), Otormin (90+1')
Jul 17, 2021 9.15pm
Cerro Largo
2-0
Wanderers
Cayetano (59'), Paiva (90')
Vazquez (77'), Otormin (90+4'), Estol (90+5')

Petryk (69'), Araujo (88')
Feb 13, 2021 9pm
Cerro Largo
1-3
Wanderers
Baez (44')
Dorrego (15'), (90+3')
Pais (41'), Rivero (50'), Riolfo (71')
Mendez (59'), Hernandez (73'), Torres (84')
Nov 10, 2020 8.15pm
Wanderers
1-0
Cerro Largo
Mendez (54')
Araujo (90+2')

Cayetano (30'), May (34'), Pereira (70')