Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Nov 10, 2020 at 8.15pm UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Cerro Largo logo

Wanderers
1 - 0
Cerro Largo

Mendez (54')
Araujo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cayetano (30'), May (34'), Pereira (70')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro Largo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawCerro Largo
40.86%27.48%31.66%
Both teams to score 48.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.13%56.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.21%77.79%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66%27.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21%62.79%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94%33.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35%69.64%
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 40.85%
    Cerro Largo 31.66%
    Draw 27.48%
Montevideo WanderersDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.85%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.04%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 10%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.66%