Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 55.5%. A win for Aragua had a probability of 23.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Aragua win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.