Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 21, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
Aragua2 - 6Gremio
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Aragua and Gremio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Aragua had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Aragua win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aragua | Draw | Gremio |
| 27.82% | 23.34% | 48.83% |
| Both teams to score 59.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
