Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between Athletico Paranaense and River Plate.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | River Plate |
| 31.61% | 23.49% | 44.89% |
| Both teams to score 61.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.21% | 39.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.85% | 62.14% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% | 24.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% | 59.06% |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.94% | 18.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.04% | 48.96% |
| Score Analysis |
Athletico Paranaense 31.61%
River Plate 44.89%
Draw 23.48%
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | River Plate |
| 2-1 @ 7.48% 1-0 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.61% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.44% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-1 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 5.21% 0-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 3.65% 1-4 @ 2.23% 0-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.73% Total : 44.89% |


