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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Den
Swansea logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Swansea

Saville (38')
Azeez (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eom (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Norwich
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Swansea
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result
MillwallDrawSwansea City
48.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)26.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)24.84% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 47.82% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)55.89% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (-0.064 -0.06)77% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)22.93% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.101 -0.1)56.7% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.05%37.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)74.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.84%
    Swansea City 24.84%
    Draw 26.31%
MillwallDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.84%

How you voted: Millwall vs Swansea

Millwall
53.2%
Draw
19.4%
Swansea City
27.4%
62
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
0-1
Millwall

Cullen (60')
De Norre (90+1')
Wintle (40'), Esse (42'), Tanganga (89'), Ivanovic (90+3')
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swansea
0-1
Millwall

Abdulai (90')
Tanganga (84')
De Norre (72')
Cooper (65'), McNamara (90')
Yates (85')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Millwall
0-3
Swansea

Cooper (22'), Longman (45+3')
Lowe (23' pen.), Grimes (57'), Kukharevych (79')
Rushworth (66'), Cabango (73')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
2-1
Swansea
Bradshaw (48'), Voglsammer (55')
Manning (58')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Swansea
2-2
Millwall
Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')