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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Den
Swansea logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Swansea

Saville (38')
Azeez (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eom (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Norwich
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Swansea
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-1 Swansea City

Both teams will carry significant momentum into the weekend following their recent fine run of results, but with home advantage in their favour, we think that the Lions will do enough to edge out Swansea and claim their fifth consecutive victory at the Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result
MillwallDrawSwansea City
48.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 26.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 24.84% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 47.82% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)55.89% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (-0.064 -0.06)77% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)22.93% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.101 -0.1)56.7% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.05%37.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)74.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.84%
    Swansea City 24.84%
    Draw 26.31%
MillwallDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.84%

How you voted: Millwall vs Swansea

Millwall
53.2%
Draw
19.4%
Swansea City
27.4%
62
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
0-1
Millwall

Cullen (60')
De Norre (90+1')
Wintle (40'), Esse (42'), Tanganga (89'), Ivanovic (90+3')
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swansea
0-1
Millwall

Abdulai (90')
Tanganga (84')
De Norre (72')
Cooper (65'), McNamara (90')
Yates (85')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Millwall
0-3
Swansea

Cooper (22'), Longman (45+3')
Lowe (23' pen.), Grimes (57'), Kukharevych (79')
Rushworth (66'), Cabango (73')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
2-1
Swansea
Bradshaw (48'), Voglsammer (55')
Manning (58')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Swansea
2-2
Millwall
Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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