Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
3 - 1
Norwich

Ivanovic (8', 69'), Azeez (39')
Cundle (71')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Duffy (45+4')
Nunez (61'), McLean (79'), Hernandez (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Millwall and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 4-1 Millwall
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 3-5 Portsmouth
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Norwich City
49.83% ( 2.9)	26.07% ( -0.75)	24.09% ( -2.16)

Both teams to score 47.8% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.44% (

1.24)

55.56% (

-1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.27% (

1.01)

76.73% (

-1.01)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

1.87)

22.35% (

-1.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.17% (

2.72)

55.83% (

-2.72)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.55% (

-1.22)

38.45% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.8% (

-1.18)

75.2% (

1.18)

Score Analysis

Millwall 49.83%

Norwich City 24.09%

Draw 26.07%

Millwall	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.37) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.83%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.69) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.09%