Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Den
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 8' goal
  • Femi Azeez 39' goal
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 69' goal
  • Luke Cundle 71' yellowcard
  • goal Shane Duffy 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Nunez 61'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 79'
  • yellowcard Onel Hernandez 89'

Millwall vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Blackburn 4 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Norwich 3 - 5 Portsmouth
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Borja Sainz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result

Millwall 49.83% (+2.91)
Draw 26.07% (-0.75)
Norwich City 24.09% (-2.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.8% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.44% (+1.25)
Under 2.5 55.56% (-1.25)
Over 3.5 23.27% (+1.01)
Under 3.5 76.73% (-1.01)
Over 4.5 10.28% (+0.62)
Under 4.5 89.72% (-0.62)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 77.66% (+1.87)
Under 0.5 22.35% (-1.87)
Over 1.5 44.17% (+2.72)
Under 1.5 55.83% (-2.72)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 61.55% (-1.23)
Under 0.5 38.45% (+1.22)
Over 1.5 24.8% (-1.19)
Under 1.5 75.2% (+1.19)

Score analysis

Millwall 49.83%
Draw 26.07%
Norwich City 24.09%
Millwall
1-0 @ 12.87% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.65% (+0.59)
2-1 @ 9.22% (+0.27)
3-0 @ 4.82% (+0.54)
3-1 @ 4.61% (+0.38)
3-2 @ 2.2% (+0.11)
4-0 @ 1.81% (+0.29)
4-1 @ 1.73% (+0.23)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 49.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.34)
0-0 @ 8.59% (-0.43)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.07%
Norwich City
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.70)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.36)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.48)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.20)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 24.09%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Emiliano Marcondes 4' goal
  • Oscar Schwartau 39' goal
  • Anis Ben Slimane 62' yellowcard
  • Oscar Schwartau 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 52'
  • goal Romain Esse 65'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Tom Bradshaw 18' goal
  • Jake Cooper 61' yellowcard
  • George Honeyman 81' yellowcard
  • George Saville 88' redcard
  • Duncan Watmore 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ryan Leonard 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 60'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 75'
  • yellowcard Joshua Sargent 81'
  • yellowcard Adam Idah 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Nunez 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2023 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Jon Rowe 25' goal
  • Jon Rowe 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Joshua Sargent 49' goal
  • Ashley Barnes 56' goal
  • Andrew Omobamidele 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Mitchell 45'+1'
  • goal Aidomo Emakhu 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
  • Tom Bradshaw 20' goal
  • Zian Flemming 83' goal
  • goal Jacob Sorensen 38'
  • goal Tom Bradshaw 55' (OG)
  • goal Gabriel Sara 65'
Championship Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Joshua Sargent 50' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 75' goal
  • Liam Gibbs 84' yellowcard
  • Tim Krul 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Saville 19'
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 66'
Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 2, 2021 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Maikel Kieftenbeld 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 83'
  • yellowcard 89'