Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
3 - 5
Portsmouth

Sargent (21'), Stacey (64'), Marcondes (90')
Sainz (79')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Bishop (15', 45+4' pen., 51'), Ritchie (39'), Poole (71')
Ritchie (31'), Hayden (32'), Dozzell (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Norwich
Friday, April 11 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 16.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Portsmouth
62.48% ( 1.45)	20.65% ( -0.46)	16.86% ( -1)

Both teams to score 53.57% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.62% (

0.33)

42.38% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.22% (

0.33)

64.78% (

-0.33)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.01% (

0.53)

12.98% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.51% (

1.08)

39.49% (

-1.08)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.56% (

-0.97)

38.44% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.81% (

-0.94)

75.19% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 62.47%

Portsmouth 16.86%

Draw 20.65%

Norwich City	Draw	Portsmouth
2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.27% Total : 62.47%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.65%	0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.15% Total : 16.86%