Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.