Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 11, 2025 at 8pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 1
Norwich

Mejbri (14'), Anthony (24')
Cullen (35'), Edwards (68')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Stacey (76')
Sainz (60'), Ben Slimane (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 0-0 Burnley
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Norwich City
56.3% ( 0.07)	24.59% ( -0.02)	19.1% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 45.65% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.91% (

0.01)

55.09% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.65% (

76.35% (

-0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52% (

0.03)

19.48% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.65% (

0.05)

51.35% (

-0.05)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69% (

-0.05)

43.31% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.45% (

-0.05)

79.55% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Burnley 56.3%

Norwich City 19.1%

Draw 24.59%

Burnley	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 56.3%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.1%