/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnorlog.png)
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Hannibal Mejbri
14'
-
Jaidon Anthony
24'
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Josh Cullen
35'
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Marcus Edwards
68'
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Borja Sainz
60'
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Anis Ben Slimane
66'
-
Jack Stacey
76'
Burnley vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Burnley
56.3%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
24.59%
▼
(-0.02)
Norwich City
19.1%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
45.65%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.91%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
55.09%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
23.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
76.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
10.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
89.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
80.52%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
19.48%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
48.65%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
51.35%
▼
(-0.05)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5
56.69%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
43.31%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
20.45%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
79.55%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Burnley
56.3%
Draw
24.59%
Norwich City
19.1%
Burnley
1-0
@
13.8%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 11.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 56.3%
2-0 @ 11.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 56.3%
Draw
1-1
@
11.54%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.59%
0-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.59%
Norwich City
0-1
@
7.06%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.1%
1-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.1%
