CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Botswana National Stadium

Galaxy
1 - 0
African Stars

Kebatho (69')
Kebatho (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Malane (26')
Galaxy win 6-5 on penalties
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between Galaxy and African Stars.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galaxy

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Last Game: African Stars 1-0 Galaxy
Saturday, August 17 at 2pm in CAF Champions League
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African Stars

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Last Game: African Stars 1-0 Galaxy
Saturday, August 17 at 2pm in CAF Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galaxy win with a probability of 75.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for African Stars had a probability of 7.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galaxy win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.18%) and 3-0 (11.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for an African Stars win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galaxy would win this match.

Result
GalaxyDrawAfrican Stars
75.05% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)17.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)7.63% (0.0599 0.06)
Both teams to score 35.35% (0.248 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15% (0.179 0.18)50.85% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.27% (0.157 0.16)72.73% (-0.155 -0.16)
Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.08% (0.033999999999992 0.03)11.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.72% (0.069999999999993 0.07)37.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
African Stars Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.13% (0.267 0.27)59.87% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.42% (0.135 0.14)90.58% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Galaxy 75.04%
    African Stars 7.63%
    Draw 17.33%
GalaxyDrawAfrican Stars
2-0 @ 16.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 15.18% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 11.44% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 6.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.011 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 75.04%
1-1 @ 7.79% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.12% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 17.33%
0-1 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 2% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 7.63%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 2pm
First Preliminary Round 1st Leg
African Stars
1-0
Galaxy
Stephanus (4')