Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Dec 12, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld

Grifo (79' pen.), Woo-yeong (90+2')
Holer (26'), Hofler (66'), Grifo (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Arminia Bielefeld, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
43.19%	25.45%	31.36%

Both teams to score 54.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.18%

48.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.08%

70.92%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.47%

22.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.89%

56.11%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83%

29.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89%

65.11%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 43.19%

Arminia Bielefeld 31.36%

Draw 25.44%

Freiburg	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.19%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 8.1% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.36%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Arminia Bielefeld

Freiburg

70.0%

Draw

23.3%

Arminia Bielefeld

6.7%