Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Gremio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 46.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Gremio |
| 25.5% | 28.34% | 46.15% |
| Both teams to score 42.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.63% | 62.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.99% | 82.01% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59% | 41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.44% | 77.55% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% | 27.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.48% | 62.51% |
| Score Analysis |
Fortaleza 25.5%
Gremio 46.15%
Draw 28.34%
| Fortaleza | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 5.77% 2-0 @ 4.42% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.25% Total : 25.5% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 14.51% 0-2 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-3 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.34% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.77% Total : 46.15% |


