Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 5

Apr 22, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

Mechelen
2 - 3
Westerlo

Vuskovic (30' og.), Storm (71')
Schoofs (36'), Bafdili (83'), Marsa (86'), Belghali (90+2'), Welsh (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Frigan (28'), Sakamoto (64'), van den Keybus (77')
Bayram (23'), van den Keybus (80')

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Westerlo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mechelen

All competitions

Last Game: Charleroi 3-0 Mechelen
Saturday, April 19 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Westerlo

All competitions

Last Game: Standard Liege 1-1 Westerlo
Saturday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 56.26%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Mechelen	Draw	Westerlo
56.26% ( -0.16)	21.61% ( 0.02)	22.12% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 59.63% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.23% (

0.07)

38.77% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.92% (

0.08)

61.08% (

-0.08)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.31% (

-0.03)

13.68% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.09% (

-0.05)

40.9% (

0.05)

Westerlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08% (

0.16)

30.91% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.79% (

0.19)

67.2% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Mechelen 56.26%

Westerlo 22.12%

Draw 21.61%

Mechelen	Draw	Westerlo
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 56.26%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 22.12%