Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4

Apr 19, 2025 at 5.15pm UK

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Charleroi
3 - 0
Mechelen

Stulic (16', 62'), Heymans (20')
Sow (28')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Charleroi and Mechelen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions

Last Game: Westerlo 2-2 Charleroi
Friday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Mechelen

All competitions

Last Game: Mechelen 1-1 Leuven
Sunday, April 13 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.

Result
Charleroi	Draw	Mechelen
43.42% ( 0.38)	26.77% ( -0.27)	29.8% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 49.97% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.18% (

54.82% (

-1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.88% (

0.82)

76.12% (

-0.82)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

0.64)

25.04% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

0.88)

59.72% (

-0.89)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

0.44)

33.33% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04% (

0.48)

69.95% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Charleroi 43.41%

Mechelen 29.8%

Draw 26.77%

Charleroi	Draw	Mechelen
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.41%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.8%