Standard Liege
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 1
Mar 29, 2025 at 5.15pm UK
Stade Maurice Dufrasne
KV Mechelen

Standard Liege
2 - 2
Mechelen

Hountondji (21'), Thierry Lazare (41')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pflucke (33'), Vanrafelghem (68')
Touba (80')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Standard Liege and Mechelen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Standard Liege 0-0 Antwerp
Sunday, March 16 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 2-1 Dender
Sunday, March 16 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Standard LiegeDrawMechelen
35.1% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)27.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.16% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.71% (0.010999999999996 0.01)57.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.88% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)78.12% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Standard Liege Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)30.95% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)67.24% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33% (0.031999999999996 0.03)29.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.28% (0.038999999999994 0.04)65.72% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Standard Liege 35.1%
    Mechelen 37.15%
    Draw 27.73%
Standard LiegeDrawMechelen
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.18% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.15%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mechelen
0-0
Standard Liege
Touba (28'), Mrabti (43'), Raemaekers (79')
Eckert (43'), Alexandropoulos (59')
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Standard Liege
0-0
Mechelen
Hautekiet (74')
Outtara (60')
May 25, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 10
Mechelen
3-2
Standard Liege
Lauberbach (14', 16', 90')
Bolingoli-Mbombo (68'), Foulon (90+6')
Lawrence (52'), Benjdida (84')
Apr 23, 2024 7.30pm
Dec 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Mechelen
3-0
Standard Liege
Bassette (35'), Mrabti (67'), Hairemans (90+3' pen.)
Bates (51'), Schoofs (82')

Hoefkens (75')
Bokadi (12')