Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 70.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 12.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.