KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 10
May 25, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
Standard Liege

Mechelen
3 - 2
Standard Liege

Lauberbach (14', 16', 90')
Bolingoli-Mbombo (68'), Foulon (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lawrence (52'), Benjdida (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Standard Liege, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mechelen

All competitions
Last Game: Westerlo 0-2 Mechelen
Saturday, May 18 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Standard Liege

All competitions
Last Game: Standard Liege 1-4 Gent
Saturday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.

Result
MechelenDrawStandard Liege
47.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.42%29.12%
Both teams to score 60.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)40.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.83% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.17%
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.00099999999999056 0)17.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.89%
Standard Liege Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.88%
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 47.46%
    Standard Liege 29.12%
    Draw 23.42%
MechelenDrawStandard Liege
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 47.46%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 4.65%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-1 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.12%

How you voted: Mechelen vs Standard Liege

Mechelen
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Standard Liege
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Standard Liege
0-0
Mechelen
Walsh (80'), Bolingoli-Mbombo (90')
Dec 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Mechelen
3-0
Standard Liege
Bassette (35'), Mrabti (67'), Hairemans (90+3' pen.)
Bates (51'), Schoofs (82')

Hoefkens (75')
Bokadi (12')
Nov 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Standard Liege
1-1
Mechelen
Kawabe (22')
Vanheusden (90+2')
Schoofs (89')
Lauberbach (14'), Konate (86'), Coucke (90+3'), Cobbaut (90+1')
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Standard Liege
2-0
Mechelen
Laifis (45+1'), Ohio (85')
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Mechelen
2-0
Standard Liege
Vanlerberghe (71'), Ngoy (74')