Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.