Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charleroi in this match.