Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.