Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.