KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 at 3pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
OH Leuven

Mechelen
1 - 1
Leuven

Lauberbach (17', 17')
Storm (57')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Schrijvers (20', 20')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Leuven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mechelen

All competitions
Last Game: Mechelen 5-2 Dender
Friday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Leuven

All competitions
Last Game: Westerlo 2-2 Leuven
Saturday, April 5 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
MechelenDrawLeuven
53.62% (0.102 0.1)22.97% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)23.41% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 56.62% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.47% (-0.145 -0.15)43.53% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.08% (-0.144 -0.14)65.92% (0.146 0.15)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)16.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)45.68% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)32.43% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.193 -0.19)68.96% (0.196 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 53.63%
    Leuven 23.41%
    Draw 22.96%
MechelenDrawLeuven
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.28% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.63%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 23.41%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Leuven
1-0
Mechelen
Mitrovic (5')
Banzuzi (1'), Verstraete (35'), Leysen (90+4')
Banzuzi (44')

Touba (34'), Hammar (40'), Schoofs (56'), Mrabti (89')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Mechelen
5-0
Leuven
Ikwuemesi (14' og.), Schoofs (18'), Lauberbach (58'), Dahl (77'), Bafdili (90+3')
Marsa (27')

Garcia (62'), Verstraete (64'), Banzuzi (74')
Ricca (12')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Mechelen
3-0
Leuven
Schoofs (47'), Bassette (58'), Mrabti (90+2' pen.)
Mrabti (70')

Dagur Thorsteinsson (75')
Mar 30, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Leuven
2-3
Mechelen
Maziz (74'), Opoku (90+6')
Maziz (90')
Cobbaut (5'), Foulon (52'), Konate (90+7')
Garananga (28'), Slimani (63'), Cobbaut (90'), Bafdili (90+9')
Slimani (80')
Mar 17, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Leuven
1-0
Mechelen
Nsingi (90+3')
Ricca (51'), Banzuzi (62'), Maziz (76'), Pletinckx (84')

Bates (79')