KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 2
Apr 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

Mechelen
5 - 2
Dender

Storm (10'), Lauberbach (14', 56'), Schoofs (21', 42')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Nsimba (59'), Berte (90')
Mbamba (77')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Dender.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mechelen

All competitions
Last Game: Standard Liege 2-2 Mechelen
Saturday, March 29 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Dender

All competitions
Last Game: Dender 1-0 Westerlo
Sunday, March 30 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Dender had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Dender win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.

Result
MechelenDrawDender
55.47% (-0.494 -0.49)22.83% (0.172 0.17)21.7% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 54.84% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.363 -0.36)44.83% (0.36 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.81% (-0.352 -0.35)67.19% (0.34899999999999 0.35)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.295 -0.3)16.02% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)45.35% (0.543 0.54)
Dender Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29% (0.102 0.1)34.71% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.57% (0.108 0.11)71.43% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 55.47%
    Dender 21.7%
    Draw 22.82%
MechelenDrawDender
1-0 @ 10.18% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.69% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 55.47%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.086 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 21.7%

How you voted: Mechelen vs Dender

Mechelen
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Dender
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Mechelen
2-1
Dender
Foulon (54'), Raman (65')
Storm (12')
Hens (73')
Goncalves (77')
Oct 26, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 12
Dender
2-5
Mechelen
Foulon (82' og.), Oratmangoen (90+6')
Pflucke (53'), Storm (60'), Belghali (90+1'), Hairemans (90+4'), Raman (90+7')
rhs 2.0


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