Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | 3rd Round | 1st Leg
May 29, 2025 at 7pm UK
BUKO Stadion
Willem II

Telstar
2 - 2
Willem II

Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs 3rd Round clash between Telstar and Willem II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telstar 2-1 Den Bosch
Friday, May 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: Willem II 3-2 Dordrecht (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
TelstarDrawWillem II
52.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)23.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.84% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)46.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)68.49% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37%17.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.0019999999999953 0)48.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)33.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)70.05% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 52.34%
    Willem II 23.95%
    Draw 23.69%
TelstarDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 8.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 52.34%
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 23.95%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
76.9%
Draw
23.1%
Winner Semi-final 2
0.0%
13
Head to Head
May 10, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 38
Willem II
3-2
Telstar
Oosting (47'), Nizet (81'), Meerveld (90+3')
Kruiver (33'), Heerkens (45' og.)
Nov 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
Telstar
1-5
Willem II
Doodeman (9', 74'), Hilterman (33'), Oosting (54'), Bosch (59')
May 5, 2023 7pm
Aug 19, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Willem II
2-1
Telstar
Verreth (36'), Svensson (74')
Llonch (67'), Verreth (84'), Mathieu (90'), Smits (90+6')
Plet (58')
Soares (88')
rhs 2.0


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