Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | 2nd Round | 1st Leg
May 21, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion
Willem II

Dordrecht
2 - 1
Willem II

FT
Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs 2nd Round clash between Dordrecht and Willem II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dordrecht

All competitions
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: Dordrecht 2-0 De Graafschap
Saturday, May 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Willem II

All competitions
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Willem II
Sunday, May 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.

Result
DordrechtDrawWillem II
56.33% (0.219 0.22)22.43% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)21.24% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 55.5% (-0.353 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (-0.31 -0.31)43.63% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (-0.303 -0.3)66.02% (0.303 0.3)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.69% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)15.31% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.96% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)44.04% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53% (-0.39 -0.39)34.46% (0.39 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (-0.416 -0.42)71.18% (0.414 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Dordrecht 56.33%
    Willem II 21.24%
    Draw 22.42%
DordrechtDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.122 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 56.33%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 21.24%

How you voted: Dordrecht vs 16th position Eredivisie

Dordrecht
62.5%
Draw
37.5%
16th position Eredivisie
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2024 1.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Dordrecht
4-4
Willem II
Van Vianen (88'), Van der Sluijs (90+7', 90+15', 90+16')
St Jago (33'), De Waal (59')
May 3, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 37
Dordrecht
1-1
Willem II
't Zand (27')
Receveur (25'), 't Zand (43'), 't Zand (51'), Kluivert (73'), Kluivert (79')
De Leeuw (90+3')
Behounek (73')
Aug 18, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Willem II
2-0
Dordrecht
De Leeuw (32'), Svensson (49')
Behounek (61'), Heerkens (68')

Owusu-Nyamekye (71')
Feb 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 24
Willem II
1-0
Dordrecht
Kabangu (77')
Nov 20, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dordrecht
2-2
Willem II
Longo (19'), Balde (31' pen.)
Svensson (3'), De Leeuw (79')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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> Premier League Full Table


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