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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Heracles |
| 42.07% ( | 25.55% ( | 32.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.09% ( | 48.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29% ( | 71% ( |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( | 23.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.03% ( | 56.96% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( | 28.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% ( | 64.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.07% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.38% |