Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.67%) and 0-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.