Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

May 3, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
1 - 4
Feyenoord

Kulenovic (73')
Mesik (33'), Zamburek (47')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Hadj Moussa (9', 36'), In-beom (45+2'), Read (78')
Moder (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 4-1 Heracles
Wednesday, April 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Feyenoord

All competitions

Last Game: Feyenoord 4-0 PEC Zwolle
Friday, April 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.67%) and 0-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Feyenoord
18.1% ( 1.79)	19.52% ( 0.67)	62.38% ( -2.45)

Both teams to score 60.32% (

1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.22% (

0.11)

34.78% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.26% (

0.12)

56.74% (

-0.12)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.56% (

2.05)

32.43% (

-2.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.04% (

2.25)

68.96% (

-2.24)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.28% (

-0.58)

10.72% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.34% (

-1.31)

34.66% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Heracles 18.1%

Feyenoord 62.38%

Draw 19.52%

Heracles	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.24) Other @ 3.15% Total : 18.1%	1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.52%	1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.49) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 7.27% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 6.45% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 4.06% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 3.6% ( -0.4) 2-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.14) 0-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.22) 2-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 4% Total : 62.38%