Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 14, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Rob Nizet 29' yellowcard
  • Jesse Bosch 72' goal
  • Jesse Bosch 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Younes Namli 26'
  • yellowcard Davy van den Berg 29'
  • yellowcard Anouar El Azzouzi 36'
  • goal Eliano Reijnders 79'

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2025 7.00pm
Willem II 1 - 2 Heracles
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jesse Bosch

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 11.15am
PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Dylan Vente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result

Willem II 41.79% (-0.06)
Draw 24.44% (+0.02)
PEC Zwolle 33.76% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.21% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.45% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 43.54% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 34.06% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 65.93% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 17.57% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 82.43% (+0.06)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 79.06% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 20.94% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 46.32% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 53.68% (+0.09)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5 74.9% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.1% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.2% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.79% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Willem II 41.79%
Draw 24.43%
PEC Zwolle 33.76%
Willem II
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.22% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.26% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.43%
PEC Zwolle
1-2 @ 7.85% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.26% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.62% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 33.76%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Dec 13, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • goal Ringo Meerveld 11'
  • yellowcard Tommy St Jago 63'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Bokila 71'
  • yellowcard Raffael Behounek 74'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2023 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Erik Schouten 30' goal
  • Michael de Leeuw 89' goal
  • goal Haris Medunjanin 12'
  • goal Apostolos Vellios 26'
  • goal Haris Medunjanin 79'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 6
Sep 9, 2022 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Lennart Thy 44' goal
  • Tomislav Mrkonjic 45' goal
  • goal Max Svensson 6'
  • goal Lucas Woudenberg 13'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2022 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Thomas van den Belt 25' goal
  • Thomas van den Belt 53' yellowcard
  • Rico Strieder 62' yellowcard
  • Thomas van den Belt 78' goal
  • yellowcard Che Nunnely 69'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gorkem Saglam 53' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 22, 2021 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 10' goal
  • Lindon Selahi 41' yellowcard
  • Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 45'+1' redcard
  • yellowcard Sam Kersten 45'
  • goal Reza Ghoochannejhad 58'
  • goal Reza Ghoochannejhad 62'
  • goal Reza Ghoochannejhad 70'