Eredivisie | Gameweek 33

May 14, 2025 at 7pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
1 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Bosch (72')
Nizet (29'), Bosch (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Namli (26'), Reijnders (79')
van den Berg (29'), El Azzouzi (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 1-2 Heracles
Friday, May 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, May 11 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	PEC Zwolle
41.79% ( -0.05)	24.44% ( 0.02)	33.76% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 59.21% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.45% (

-0.07)

43.54% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.06% (

-0.07)

65.93% (

0.07)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

-0.05)

20.94% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

-0.09)

53.68% (

0.08)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.9% (

-0.02)

25.1% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.2% (

-0.02)

59.79% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Willem II 41.79%

PEC Zwolle 33.76%

Draw 24.43%

Willem II	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.79%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.76%