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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 29.87% ( | 22.85% ( | 47.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.36% ( | 37.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.13% ( | 59.86% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( | 24.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( | 59.07% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( | 16.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.13% ( | 45.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 1-0 @ 5.62% ( 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0-2 @ 6.59% ( 1-3 @ 5.59% ( 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 2-3 @ 3.93% ( 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 2-4 @ 1.78% ( 1-5 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.61% Total : 47.27% |