Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.