Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.