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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 37.23% ( | 23.85% ( | 38.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.87% ( | 40.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% ( | 62.49% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( | 21.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( | 54.77% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( | 20.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.5% ( | 53.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.23% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 38.92% |