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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Willem II |
| 49.98% ( | 23.89% ( | 26.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% ( | 45.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( | 67.42% ( |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( | 18.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.95% ( | 49.05% ( |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( | 31.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% ( | 67.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 4-0 @ 2% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 26.13% |