/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnaclog.png)
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Brayann Pereira
31'
-
Bryan Linssen
67'
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Bryan Linssen
70'
NEC vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F32%2Frogier-meijer.png)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result
NEC
63.83%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
19.54%
▼
(-0.03)
NAC Breda
16.62%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
56.98%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.35%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
37.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
40.11%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
59.88%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
22.23%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
77.76%
▲
(+0.02)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
88.81%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
11.19%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
64.31%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
35.69%
▼
(-0.05)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5
64.15%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
35.84%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
27.38%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
72.62%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
NEC
63.83%
Draw
19.54%
NAC Breda
16.62%
NEC
2-1
@
9.87%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 63.83%
2-0 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 63.83%
Draw
1-1
@
9.01%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.54%
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.54%
NAC Breda
1-2
@
4.62%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 16.62%
0-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 16.62%
