Eredivisie | Gameweek 33

May 14, 2025 at 7pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
3 - 0
NAC Breda

Pereira (31'), Linssen (67', 70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 0-3 Nijmegen
Sunday, May 11 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 1-0 NAC Breda
Saturday, May 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	NAC Breda
63.83% ( 0.1)	19.54% ( -0.03)	16.62% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 56.98% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.35% (

-0.02)

37.65% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.11% (

-0.02)

59.88% (

0.02)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.81% (

0.02)

11.19% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.31% (

0.05)

35.69% (

-0.05)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.15% (

-0.1)

35.84% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.38% (

-0.1)

72.62% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

NEC 63.83%

NAC Breda 16.62%

Draw 19.54%

NEC	Draw	NAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.41% Total : 63.83%	1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.54%	1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 16.62%