Eredivisie Gameweek 32
Ajax
May 11, 2025 3.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
Nijmegen
  • Anton Gaaei 30' yellowcard
  • Kian Fitz-Jim 64' yellowcard
  • Steven Berghuis 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Marquez 27'
  • yellowcard Vito van Crooij 37'
  • yellowcard Brayann Pereira 38'
  • goal Sontje Hansen 59'
  • goal Brayann Pereira 67'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 69'
  • goal Sami Ouaissa 82'

Ajax vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 1.30pm
Ajax 1 - 1 Sparta
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Wout Weghorst

NEC

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 3.30pm
Nijmegen 1 - 1 Willem II
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Vito van Crooij

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for NEC had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result

Ajax 65.25% ▼ (-0.20)
Draw 19.27% ▲ (+0.10)
NEC 15.49% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.25% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.38% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 38.63% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 39.08% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 60.93% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 4.5 21.4% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 78.6% ▲ (+0.20)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 88.9% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 11.1% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 64.5% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 35.5% ▲ (+0.26)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 62.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 37.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 25.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.62% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ajax 65.25%
Draw 19.27%
NEC 15.49%
Ajax
2-0 @ 10.15% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 65.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.27%
NEC
1-2 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.49%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
Dec 1, 2024 3.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
Ajax
  • Sontje Hansen 13' goal
  • Kodai Sano 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Wout Weghorst 15'
  • yellowcard Devyne Rensch 31'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 48'
  • yellowcard Wout Weghorst 51'
  • yellowcard Anton Gaaei 69'
  • yellowcard Jorrel Hato 74'
  • yellowcard Ahmetcan Kaplan 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Ajax
Feb 18, 2024 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
Nijmegen
  • Brian Brobbey 7' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 67' yellowcard
  • Carlos Borges 79' goal
  • Kristian Hlynsson 87' yellowcard
  • goal Jorrel Hato 61' (OG)
  • goal Rober 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
Ajax
  • Elayis Tavsan 90' goal
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 57'
  • goal Carlos Borges 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Ajax
Mar 5, 2023 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Nijmegen
  • Mohammed Kudus 52' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Nijmegen
Jan 8, 2023 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Ajax
  • Landry Dimata 52' goal
  • goal Davy Klaassen 38'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Nijmegen
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ajax
  • Lasse Schone 55' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Guth 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daley Blind 53'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 88'

Form Data

Ajax 1 - 1 Sparta
Utrecht 4 - 0 Ajax
Willem II 1 - 2 Ajax
Ajax 3 - 1 NAC Breda
PSV 0 - 2 Ajax
Ajax 2 - 2 AZ
Nijmegen 1 - 1 Willem II
Heerenveen 1 - 0 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 2 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
Sparta 2 - 0 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 3 - 3 AZ
Utrecht 0 - 1 Nijmegen