Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 11, 2025 at 3.45pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
0 - 3
Nijmegen

Gaaei (30'), Fitz-Jim (64'), Berghuis (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hansen (59'), Pereira (67'), Ouaissa (82')
Marquez (27'), van Crooij (37'), Pereira (38'), Verdonk (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 1-1 Sparta
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Willem II
Saturday, May 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for NEC had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	NEC
65.25% ( -0.2)	19.27% ( 0.09)	15.49% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 55.25% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.38% (

-0.23)

38.63% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.08% (

-0.24)

60.93% (

0.24)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.9% (

-0.11)

11.1% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.5% (

-0.26)

35.5% (

0.26)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.15% (

-0.01)

37.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.38% (

-0.01)

74.62% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Ajax 65.25%

NEC 15.49%

Draw 19.27%

Ajax	Draw	NEC
2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.3% Total : 65.25%	1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.27%	1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 15.49%