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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
54% (![]() | 21.8% (![]() | 24.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.77% (![]() | 37.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.56% (![]() | 59.44% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.13% (![]() | 13.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.73% (![]() | 41.27% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% (![]() | 28.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.93% (![]() | 64.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.67% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.76% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.62% Total : 54% | 1-1 @ 9.79% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 6.17% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 24.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |