Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 27, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
1 - 1
Sparta

Regeer (90+7')
Rugani (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nassoh (90+5')
van Aanholt (27'), Kitolano (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Utrecht 4-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 3-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 12 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
54% ( 0.07)	21.8% ( -0.23)	24.2% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 61.72% (

1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.77% (

1.25)

37.24% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.56% (

1.34)

59.44% (

-1.33)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13% (

0.45)

13.87% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.73% (

0.88)

41.27% (

-0.88)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

0.81)

28.34% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.93% (

1.01)

64.07% (

-1.01)

Score Analysis

Ajax 54%

Sparta Rotterdam 24.2%

Draw 21.8%

Ajax	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.62% Total : 54%	1-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.8%	1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 24.2%