/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fspalog.png)
-
Daniele Rugani
52'
-
Youri Regeer
90'+7'
-
Patrick van Aanholt
27'
-
Joshua Kitolano
36'
-
Mohamed Nassoh
90'+5'
Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result
Ajax
54%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
21.8%
▼
(-0.23)
Sparta Rotterdam
24.2%
▲
(+0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
61.72%
▲
(+1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.77%
▲
(+1.25)
Under 2.5
37.24%
▼
(-1.25)
Over 3.5
40.56%
▲
(+1.34)
Under 3.5
59.44%
▼
(-1.34)
Over 4.5
22.59%
▲
(+1.08)
Under 4.5
77.41%
▼
(-1.07)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
86.13%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 0.5
13.87%
▼
(-0.45)
Over 1.5
58.73%
▲
(+0.89)
Under 1.5
41.27%
▼
(-0.88)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5
71.66%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 0.5
28.34%
▼
(-0.81)
Over 1.5
35.93%
▲
(+1.01)
Under 1.5
64.07%
▼
(-1.01)
Score analysis
Ajax
54%
Draw
21.8%
Sparta Rotterdam
24.2%
Ajax
2-1
@
9.67%
▼
(-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.35)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.14)
4-1 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 54%
1-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.35)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.14)
4-1 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 54%
Draw
1-1
@
9.79%
▼
(-0.21)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.8%
2-2 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.8%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-2
@
6.17%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 24.2%
Ahmetcan Kaplan
90'+4'