Willem II
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | 2nd Round | 2nd Leg
May 24, 2025 at 7pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
3 - 2
Dordrecht

FT
(aet)
Willem II win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs 2nd Round clash between Willem II and Dordrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dordrecht 2-1 Willem II
Wednesday, May 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: Dordrecht 2-1 Willem II
Wednesday, May 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%).

Result
Willem IIDrawDordrecht
30.93% (-0.125 -0.13)24.28% (0.121 0.12)44.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 58.65% (-0.489 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-0.615 -0.62)43.79% (0.611 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (-0.605 -0.6)66.18% (0.60300000000001 0.6)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (-0.384 -0.38)26.95% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7% (-0.506 -0.51)62.29% (0.503 0.5)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.249 -0.25)19.71% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.28% (-0.405 -0.41)51.72% (0.402 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Willem II 30.93%
    Dordrecht 44.78%
    Draw 24.28%
Willem IIDrawDordrecht
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.57% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.93%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.141 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.164 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.01% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.79% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 44.78%

Head to Head
May 21, 2025 5.45pm
2nd Round 1st Leg
Dordrecht
2-1
Willem II
Jul 13, 2024 1.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Dordrecht
4-4
Willem II
Van Vianen (88'), Van der Sluijs (90+7', 90+15', 90+16')
St Jago (33'), De Waal (59')
May 3, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 37
Dordrecht
1-1
Willem II
't Zand (27')
Receveur (25'), 't Zand (43'), 't Zand (51'), Kluivert (73'), Kluivert (79')
De Leeuw (90+3')
Behounek (73')
Aug 18, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Willem II
2-0
Dordrecht
De Leeuw (32'), Svensson (49')
Behounek (61'), Heerkens (68')

Owusu-Nyamekye (71')
Feb 10, 2023 7pm