Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 38
May 9, 2025 at 7pm UK
BUKO Stadion
Emmen

Telstar
3 - 0
Emmen

Offerhaus (4'), Hardeveld (24'), El Kachati (73')
Rossen (27')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Schouten (3'), Soares (23')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Emmen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: De Graafschap 2-1 Telstar
Friday, May 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Emmen 2-1 VVV-Venlo
Friday, May 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 53.02%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 1-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.

Result
TelstarDrawEmmen
53.02% (0.055 0.05)21.47% (0.0039999999999978 0)25.51% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 64.46% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.71% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)34.28% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.81% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)56.19% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.83% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)13.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.14% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)39.86% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)25.76% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (-0.114 -0.11)60.7% (0.112 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 53.02%
    Emmen 25.51%
    Draw 21.47%
TelstarDrawEmmen
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.02%
1-1 @ 9.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.39% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.47%
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.51%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 12
Emmen
0-1
Telstar

Vos (58'), Wagner (84'), Rhein (89')
Noslin (43')
Turfkruier (86')
Apr 19, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 35
Telstar
2-3
Emmen
Tahiri (29'), Oude Kotte (34')
Kruiver (40')
Besuijen (52'), Scholte (56'), Kieftenbeld (66')
te Wierik (82')
Oct 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Emmen
2-0
Telstar
Parzyszek (5'), Ubbink (24')
Kieftenbeld (79'), Vos (89')
Mar 27, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 32
Emmen
2-1
Telstar
Mendes (36'), Vlak (49')
Plet (45')
Wolters (16')
Aug 6, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 1
Telstar
1-1
Emmen
Plet (4')
Smit (48')
Hilterman (26')
El Azzouzi (82')