Werder Bremen logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 3, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
4 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue

Schmid (7'), Veljkovic (19'), Ducksch (53'), Fullkrug (57')
Toprak (34'), Gross (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Messeguem (44'), Jonjic (59')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawErzgebirge Aue
54.93%23.11%21.96%
Both teams to score 54.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.26%45.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94%68.06%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47%16.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72%46.28%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03%34.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29%71.71%
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 54.93%
    Erzgebirge Aue 21.96%
    Draw 23.1%
Werder BremenDrawErzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.37%
3-1 @ 5.9%
3-0 @ 5.62%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.66%
4-0 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 1.4%
5-1 @ 0.96%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 54.93%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 5.78%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.1%
0-1 @ 6.07%
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 21.96%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Erzgebirge Aue

Werder Bremen
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Erzgebirge Aue
16.7%
12
rhs 2.0


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