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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Reading |
| 40.85% | 28.02% | 31.13% |
| Both teams to score 46.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.03% | 58.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.56% | 79.45% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% | 28.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% | 64.07% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% | 34.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.74% | 71.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.73% Total : 40.85% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 5.53% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.13% |