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San Marino national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Poland national football team

San Marino
1 - 7
Poland

Nanni (48')
Nanni (30'), Tomassini (40'), Lunadei (42'), Mularoni (57')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Lewandowski (4', 21'), Swiderski (16'), Linetty (44'), Buksa (67', 90+2', 90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between San Marino and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
San MarinoDrawPoland
17.48%21.64%60.88%
Both teams to score 51.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33%45.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01%67.99%
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33%39.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65%76.34%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.47%14.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.45%42.54%
Score Analysis
    San Marino 17.48%
    Poland 60.87%
    Draw 21.63%
San MarinoDrawPoland
1-0 @ 5.33%
2-1 @ 4.75%
2-0 @ 2.46%
3-1 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.48%
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 5.76%
2-2 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.63%
0-1 @ 11.11%
0-2 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 6.38%
0-4 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.95%
2-4 @ 1.42%
0-5 @ 1.28%
1-5 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 60.87%

How you voted: San Marino vs Poland

San Marino
9.6%
Draw
4.1%
Poland
86.3%
73