Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10

Apr 19, 2025 at 12.45pm UK

Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
4 - 0
Newtown

Evans (27' og.), Reeves (31'), Maire (43', 82')
Owen (29')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions

Last Game: Briton Ferry 1-2 Flint Town
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Newtown AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Aberystwyth
Saturday, April 12 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.

Result
Flint Town United	Draw	Newtown AFC
52.06% ( -0.4)	23.37% ( 0.17)	24.57% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 56.65% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.87% (

-0.57)

44.13% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.5% (

-0.56)

66.51% (

0.56)

Flint Town United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.03% (

-0.35)

16.97% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.93% (

-0.63)

47.07% (

0.63)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.23% (

-0.12)

31.77% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.8% (

-0.14)

68.2% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Flint Town United 52.06%

Newtown AFC 24.57%

Draw 23.36%

Flint Town United	Draw	Newtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.06%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.36%	1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 24.57%